It is Always Your Next Thought that Creates Your Reality. Always
May 9th, 2008 · No Comments · peace
The United Nations is the closest we’ve got to a world government
May 9th, 2008 · No Comments · peace
The biggest problem developing countries face is political turmoil and violence. Paul Collier, Professor of Economics at Oxford and Bjørn Lomborg, Professor at the Copenhagen Business School,
The commodity boom and discovery of mineral resources in fragile states have sown seeds of discord, while the spread of democracy in low-income countries – perhaps surprisingly – increases the statistical likelihood of political violence.
Their solution is the deployment of peacekeeping forces in conflict areas. They have carried out the first cost benefit analysis of such initiatives,
Compared with no deployment, spending $100 million on a peacekeeping initiative reduces the ten-year risk of conflict from around 38% to 16.5%. At $200 million per year, the risk falls further, to around 12.8%. At $500 million, it goes down to 9%, and at $850 million drops to 7.3%.
They suggest that "Peacekeeping is an even better deal when it is provided in the form of an ‘over the horizon’ security guarantee: a reliable commitment to dispatch troops if they are needed." A guarantee could be offered by the UN or a regional power like the African Union to protect governments that came to power through certified democratic elections.
The United Nations is the closest we’ve got to a world government. We need to use it to deal with conflicts in the poorer countries in a consistent way.
Attitudes Take a Generation to Change
May 9th, 2008 · No Comments · peace
Attitudes are hard to change. When people are in a war for a generation, they grow up with hatred toward their enemy. This is the case in the Middle East. The disaster of the Iraq war has made these attitudes more pronounced, and spread them to more countries.
Joschka Fischer, Germany’s Vice Chancellor from 1998 to 2005, paints a bleak picture of the situation in the Middle East,
Indeed, the war in Iraq has transformed the centuries-old Shia-Sunni conflict by infusing it with modern geopolitical significance and extending it to the entire region.
Not only this, there is now a potential for tension between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
The rise of Iran poses an existential threat to Saudi Arabia, because the country’s oil-rich northeast is populated by a Shia majority. A Shia government in Baghdad, dominated by Iran, would, in the medium term, threaten Saudi Arabia’s territorial integrity – a scenario that the Saudis cannot, and will not, accept.
There is now a new arrangement of power in the Middle East. The territorial power of Iran has increased with no effort of their own. The two Shia factions - Hamas in Palestine and Hezbollah in Lebanon - surrounding Israel are supported by Iran. A solution to the conflict there will now have to rely on talking to Iran.
The concentration of wealth, not the sharing of it, is the largest single factor in the creation of the world’s most persistent and striking social and political dilemmas
May 9th, 2008 · No Comments · prosperity
We Need to Turn off the Machines When We’ve Produced Enough
May 8th, 2008 · No Comments · prosperity
The free market ideology has spread to many countries around the world. It has increased prosperity for many in the developing countries.
What is this prosperity? It is an improvement in living conditions - in well-being and material goods. People are paid for their work, and they use this money to buy goods and services that they need, and want - goods and services produced by other people. The free market is the means by which these goods and services are transferred around the world.
To be able to continue this, we need to consume. If we consume more we need to produce more, which means that more people are assured their jobs. If consumption decreases, production will decrease too and there will be less work around. So we are told to consume more and more by our political and business leaders. These people determine their success by an increase in the Gross Domestic Product. This is a measure of how much activity - how much goods and services are being produced. As long as it is increasing, society is succeeding.
We have trained our workforce well. Our education system is the way in which the system propagates itself. We are training our young to a world of work.
How did we get here? An essay by Jeffrey Kaplan in The Gospel of Consumption traces a history of how we came to be the consumers we are,
President Herbert Hoover’s 1929 Committee on Recent Economic Changes observed in glowing terms the results: “By advertising and other promotional devices . . . a measurable pull on production has been created which releases capital otherwise tied up.” They celebrated the conceptual breakthrough: “Economically we have a boundless field before us; that there are new wants which will make way endlessly for newer wants, as fast as they are satisfied.”
Here was "a strategic shift for American industry—from fulfilling basic human needs to creating new ones." By encouraging people to want more, more work would need to be done, and the machines would not be idle.
There were some critics to this new policy of increasing consumption to allow more people to work. Because machines were now able to produce more in less time, a few argued that people should therefore work less - a four-day working week. As early as 1932, Arthur Dahlberg, in his book Jobs, Machines, and Capitalism,
By not shortening the working day when all the wood is in, the profit motive becomes both the creator and satisfier of spiritual needs. For when the profit motive can turn nowhere else, it wraps our soap in pretty boxes and tries to convince us that that is solace to our souls.
Kaplan makes the point that what was going on was a political movement by government and business leaders to build a system that kept people employed. We were persuaded by these people, and although the machinery offered an opportunity to work less,
.. we have allowed the owners of those machines to define their purpose: not reduction of labour, but “higher productivity”—and with it the imperative to consume virtually everything that the machinery can possibly produce.
The J. Walter Thompson advertising agency told readers that under “private capitalism, the Consumer, the Citizen is boss. He doesn’t have to wait for election day to vote or for the Court to convene before handing down his verdict. The consumer ‘votes’ each time he buys one article and rejects another.”
This was and still is the American way, Kaplan,
We can break that cycle by turning off our machines when they have created enough of what we need. Doing so will give us an opportunity to re-create the kind of healthy communities that were beginning to emerge with Kellogg’s six-hour day, communities in which human welfare is the overriding concern rather than subservience to machines and those who own them. We can create a society where people have time to play together as well as work together, time to act politically in their common interests, and time even to argue over what those common interests might be. That fertile mix of human relationships is necessary for healthy human societies, which in turn are necessary for sustaining a healthy planet.
Unlike our great-grandparents who passed the time, we spend it
May 8th, 2008 · No Comments · peace
Food Is a Policy Issue, Not an Economic One, to Governments
May 7th, 2008 · No Comments · prosperity
There is politics and there is economics. Sometimes the two don’t meet. Food is a policy issue. Governments are required to ensure the supply of basic food to its population.
Agricultural subsidies have been a very important part of government policy in developed economies. This is not going to change. This is why the opening up of markets around the world to labour and technologies, did not include opening markets to agriculture. The Washington Post,
With food, significant subsidies and other barriers meant to protect farmers — particularly in Europe, the United States and Japan — have distorted the real price of food globally, economists say, preventing the market from normal price adjustments as global demand has climbed.
Richard Feltes, senior vice president of MF Global, a futures brokerage, "We can see now that the world has largely failed in its attempt to create an integrated food market."
As prices rise, governments are likely to become more protectionist over their food supply. This will harm the poor.